Urban Legends & the Great Commission
There's a lot of wild weaving together of unverified statistics from a very specific situation with the Catholic world's discovery of Fr. Zacharias and the result is a major urban legend in the making.
The urban legend going round: That 6 million Muslims become Christians every year and that the hard-hitting TV broadcasts of Fr. Zacharias, a maverick Coptic priest, is responsible for large portions of those conversions.
I'm sorry, folks, but this is a scenario without any basis in fact.
First of all - the 6 million figure. Came from a interview on Al Jazeera by a Muslim cleric who asserted that there were 6 million conversions from Islam to Christianity in Africa every year.
There has never been any indication where this suspiciously round number came from - no studies, nothing. Just an assertion by one man a couple years ago on an Arabic language broadcast that is now being bandied about all over the world as though we knew it were true. And the idea that this was true of Africa alone has been conveniently dropped so now it is assumed to be a global figure.
The only people doing careful research in this area in the world are evangelicals and none of the major researchers have ever said anything of the kind. They note very carefully that there are really significant breakthroughs in large parts of the world - but they are inevitably the result of years or decades of sustained effort. For instance, a growth of 17,000 over a period of 15 years where no native Christians have ever existed before - that sort of thing.
No one is talking about 6 million new Muslim background Christians every year - and believe me, if growth at that level was taking place, evangelical researchers would be talking about it in detail - where, what people groups, and why!
What has happened - over the period of a century - is the Christianization of Africa. But most of the conversion to Christianity in Africa has been by members of African traditional religions - not by Muslims who live mostly in the north.
Here are some solid figures from the World Christian Database:
1900: 8.7 million Christians in Africa or 8 % of the total population
2000: 360 million Christians in Africa or 45% of the total population
2025 estimate: 600 million Christians in Africa or 47% of the total population
By 2025, Africa will be on the verge of becoming a majority Christian continent. There will be more Christians in Africa than in Europe and two and a half times more Christians in Africa than in North America. Only Latin American Christianity will be slightly larger.
Even if 6 million Muslims in the world did become Christian this year, it would only represent 4/10ths of 1 % of a total Muslim population of 1,412,000,000.
Oh, and the story circulating that the world wide Islamic population just passed the number of Catholics? Talk about old news! That happened back in the mid 90's without any Catholic comment that I could see. Some evangelical researchers noticed. I knew. But now what those interested in missions have known for years has been discovered suddenly by the media and turned into new news.
Just like Fr. Zacharias has suddenly been "discovered". Fr. Zacharias has also been around a long time. They were talking about him when I was an undergrad - although he was still in Egypt, I believe.
Here's a little data about Fr. Zacharias from an obvious supporter:
Father Boutros is an Egyptian Coptic priest who has peacefully inspired about 500 Egyptian Muslims to convert to Christianity, something considered a crime punishable by death in the Muslim world. For carrying out those conversions, he was imprisoned twice while he was living in Egypt in the early 1980’s and is now living in exile outside of the country.
Note: 500. Not 6 million.
Helping 500 Egyptian Muslims become Christian is a staggering thing. But apparently not nearly staggering enough to satisfy our newly awakened appetite for Muslim conversions.
To attribute, in the complete absence of any data, large portions of this new spiritual awakening in the Muslim world to one man's efforts is simply absurd. One man single-handedly turning the direction of a global-circling community of 1.4 billion people who speak hundreds of different languages through his in-your-face, detailed Arabic language critiques of specific Quranic passages that are available only to those who have access to certain TV broadcasts? Have we lost all sense of how small the target audience for that sort of programming is? This is an apologist's fantasy.
Not to mention that the majority of Muslims in the world don't speak Arabic.
The change we are seeing is the fruit of millions of Christians praying for (see my piece on the Praying Through the Window campaigns of the 90's There is also a related initiative: 30 Days of Prayer for the Muslim world has been held every year during Ramadan for years) and tens of thousands of mission-minded Christians working all over the Muslim world for the past 40 years.
It is these evangelizers - almost all of whom are lay - living in Muslim communities, loving their neighbors, teaching school, healing the sick, founding and running businesses, planting thousands of evangelizing small Christian communities in hundreds of different language groups and situations, writing books, making radio broadcasts, building relationships, trust, and credibility with Muslims they actually know personally - who have been used by God to turn the tide. Fr. Zacahrias is one rather loud horn in a vast symphony orchestra - and he isn't even first chair.
Remember that study that Dudley Woodbury did about why Muslims become Christian? Of the 5 primary reasons that 750 MBBs gave - the central theme was love. God's love reflected consistently in the lives of Christians they knew. Being exposed to the love of Christ through the gospels.
Not media, Not TV. Not apologetics. Love. From tens of thousands of expat missionaries and hundreds of thousands of national Christians who are "Great commission" Christians.
Because one of the really significant changes over the past century is the number of Christians who David Barrett calls "Great Commission Christians" - Christians for whom the proclamation of Christ is central to the practice of their faith.
In 1900, only about 14% of Christians in the world could be called "Great Commission" Christians. Today, 31% of Christians on the planet are. 690 mllion according to 2008 Status of Global Mission.
The fact that the percentage of the Christians population who grasp that the primary mission of the church is to proclaim Christ has more than doubled in the 20th century had made all the difference.
690 million Christians committed to loving the world to Christ. Of which Fr. Zacharias is one.
How about you?

5 Comments:
Hi Sherry,
I guess the good news is that Catholics in general are getting interested in mission to Muslims.
One thing I highly recommend to anyone interested in the topic is to read about Blessed Raymund Lull, which has recently been reprinted and is available for free online.
Regarding numbers, the 500 is actually the number of Muslims that Fr. Zacarias has himself baptized--I know this from speaking with him in person last year.
The figure of 6million Muslims per year in Africa converting is certainly propaganda designed to get Muslims to support da3wa (that is Muslim missions) in Africa.
I think that the figure of tens of thousands of converts from Fr Zacarias' ministry may well be accurate. How many of them get baptized and go on to grow in the Christian faith is probably lower than that, but that would be the same for any ministry dealing with large numbers (World Youth Day, Billy Graham Crusades, etc.)
I am a rather catholic Anglican, so I agree with your theology of baptism in practical and theological terms. I do know RC theology quite well.
Billy Graham used to call his evangelistic meetings Crusades, though I guess they don't anymore. I was just using the word he uses. I wasn't making any point about the historical Crusades. For the record I think the 1st Crusade at least was certainly a just war, though it was not carried out justly, which is a different topic.
Fr. Zakarias is a household name throughout the whole Middle East and he has made a profound difference. I do think that of the hundreds of thousands of people who have indicated they want to follow Jesus there are tens of thousands of genuine converts (yes, baptized) who are actively living out the life of Christian discipleship.
(Also, am blogging Evangelii Nuntiandi, if you are interested.)
Just FYI:
If we are using studies of the impact of Billy Graham crusades, the percentages of those who "accept Christ" there and go on to baptism (which wasn't emphasized anyway), regular church attendance and Christian maturity is very low: in the single digits.
I wouldn't ever compare the Crusades to evangelization as Billy Graham understands and practices it since simple "proclamation of Christ" was not the primary motivation or activity in those historical events. After the west had conquered and established European control of the Holy Land, Franciscan friars who did intend it, would have been given permission to preach to the Muslim population. But the concerns of the western kings and feudal lords who ran the crusades themselves were much more complicated.
But you can't think of the medieval crusades as simple advance men for Billy Graham like figures in brown habits.
The crusades were a: very complex phenomena: part self-defense (a good offense being the best defense), part lets-create-peace-in-Europe by getting rid of battling barons and inflict them on the non-Christian world, part a chance to create and become kinglet of your own little near eastern kingdomlet, etc.
We are not talking Billy Graham here. The only thing they have in common is the word "crusade".
In any case, long term fruit of large evangelistic meetings in the form of baptized mature Christians is remarkably low.
The studies show something like 4 - 6%.
Which is why evangelicals started to make big changes in their evangelistic approaches in the 80's.
But 4-6% of 10,000 is 400 - 600. So we are back in the same ballpark.
And World Youth Day is a very different undertaking - aimed at recharging the faith and nurturing the vocations of baptized Christian youth and young adults. It is not aimed at the not-yet-baptized.
I know that you aren't Catholic, so just in case you didn't know. For a Catholic - or any historically minded liturgical Christian (Orthodox, Coptic) you simply are not a Christian unless you have been baptized.
Being a Christian and being saved are not synonyms because of the "baptism of desire" whereby one's death becomes one's baptism for those who seek to follow and obey Christ - whether known explicitly under that name or not.
So "believer" without baptism does not equal Christian. And "Christian" does not equal "saved". Nor does "believer" equal "saved".
For Catholics.
Dave:
Of course, i accept Church teaching wholly and without reservation and believe that baptism is normative for all Christians.
Sigh. These days, no matter how meticulous we are, someone is always afraid that if we don't *assert* everything the Church teaches all the time, its because we are really mean to *deny* something.
I'm just acutely aware of serious debates going on *outside* Catholic circles - the circles that are doing 99% of all Muslim evangelization - about non-baptized believers in Christ.
The whole phenomena of not baptizing new believers in Christ because it tends to remove them from their family and community networks and so makes them less effective witnesses is very controversial - even among evangelicals - and has all kinds of implications - some of which are hard to predict and some of which are grave indeed.
If you are coming from that perspective (and I didn't know if AD was or not and this was a conversation with him ) baptismal regeneration makes no sense at all. Hence my language.
Sorry if it was confusing.
Sherry,
Matthew 28.19 is normative for all Christians (not to mention Jesus' own baptism in the Jordan). Catholics believe in baptism of blood and baptism of desire for those who die or are martyred and do not have the opportunity for water baptism, but have the desire, but your final statement "For Catholics" sounds like you think Catholics are only one part of the Christian religious spectrum and that Catholic liturgical practice is not normative.
Dave
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